Discussions are taking place in formal and non-formal gatherings about when the U.S. President Barack Obama must begin direct negotiations with Iran.
Those who oppose talks between the American government and Mr. Ahmadinejad's administration argue that such negotiations would benefit Ahmadinejad ahead of the presidential election in Iran, and that he must not be strengthened. I do not believe that this argument is valid.
In my opinion, negotiating with the American government would not benefit Ahmadinejad and, therefore, if the current Iranian president really is willing to engage in such negotiations, it is the American side that is loosing the game through its procrastinations.
In Iran, except for certain radical political or religious currents, very few ordinary people are principally opposed to talks with the US. Indeed, these radical political and religious currents are committed supporters of Mr. Ahmadinejad.
Negotiations with America would pit Mr. Ahmadinejad and his hardcore support base against each other: his supporters would be then forced either to take a stance against the administration and, in the worst case scenario, mobilize their supporters against Mr. Ahmadinejad, which would mean their exclusion from the supporters of the administration; or they would be forced to openly defend dialogue with America and find a religious justification for it, resulting in the destruction of the foundations of the confrontational ideology that they have devised and propagated in recent years in order to curb the reform movement.
In my opinion, the separation of radicals from the administration or their endorsement of negotiations with America both are beneficial to the Iranian society and, eventually, the moderate movement in Iran.
Nevertheless, not only in the Western world but also inside Iran, some reformists are afraid that certain layers of society may interpret negotiations between America and the Ahmadinejad administration as a foreign policy victory for Ahmadinejad, thereby increasing their votes for Ahmadinejad.
However, such a fear is unfounded because, first, different layers of society do not cast their votes based on a standard set of parameters, and secondly, if the social reality in Iran is that Mr. Ahmadinejad has failed to deliver on his promises, one must not be worried about his success in one particular field.
If we believe that negotiations with America are beneficial to Iran, what is wrong if it happened during Mr. Ahmadinejad's tenure, and all of the contradictory repercussions of such an action be spent from his capital?
In my opinion, currently only Mr. Ahmadinejad has the appropriate position and courage to begin negotiations with America, and if another person, especially from the reformist camp, is set to replace him, this task would be very difficult and costly, because radical forces would once again engage in remaking the anti-America ideology to destroy any prospects for talks.
In any case, I am hopeful that White House officials do not accept Mr. Sarkozy's suggestion of waiting for the presidential elections in Iran before starting talks with Iran.
In my opinion, in certain, very tangled situations, moderate political concessions from a hardliner and radical leader can bear more fruit than the labor of dozens of moderate leaders.





