Mohammad Ali Amouei, former central committee member of Iran's largest and oldest communist party, the Tudeh Party, argues in an interview with Rooz that participation in the election is currently useless, adding, "The conditions today are significantly worse than they were during Mr. Khatami's eight-year tenure." You can read the interview below.
Rooz (R): As you are aware, Mr. Khatami has announced that either he or Mr. Mousavi would run in the upcoming election. In your opinion, which of the two candidates has a better chance of defeating Ahmadinejad?
Mohammad Ali Amouei (MAA): The two candidates that you named are the most prominent out of all, and both possess honesty and integrity that is reflected in their backgrounds. However, from the point of view of managing society and duties bestowed on a president, such as full implementation of the Constitution, Mr. Khatami's eight-year experience proved that he is incapable of doing that. Mr. Mousavi too, who was the prime minister during the war, faced problems over and over and only Mr. Khomeini's support prevented the country from plunging into various crises. Also, we must note that today the composition of regime's leadership is much different than it was during Mr. Mousavi's tenure as prime minister. As a result, his role and achievements in that time cannot accurately reflect the conditions of Iran's society today. Therefore, in general, I personally believe that until obstacles facing a president's full implementation of its duties are not clarified and ways to mitigate them are not devised, participation in the election is useless.
R: So in your opinion, under current conditions the possibility of a reformist victory is bleak?
MAA: If the reformists want to take over the executive branch, in my opinion they are facing much tougher times now than they did during Mr. Khatami's eight-year tenure. You must note that at that time they controlled the Majlis as well, but right now a different Majlis, composed mostly of Principalist gentlemen, is in charge. How do our reformist friends hope to attract the popular vote? And suppose they succeed in that, and ride the wave of discontent among the majority and gather votes for themselves; what can they do with that vote, and what programs or goals can they realize? I am yet to see a clear roadmap from the gentlemen.
R: The difference though is that this time Mr. Mousavi has joined Mr. Khatami in the same camp. Up to now, Mr. Mousavi had been unwilling to enter the political stage.
MAA: The reality is that we are not aware of what's going on behind the scene. Once before when Mr. Mousavi's name was being thrown around as a possible candidate, rumors were heard that he was threatened by pressure groups and he subsequently resigned. Now, whether such pressures have increased or decreased, and whether some backroom promises have been made, I am not aware. My guess is that the regime's leadership intends to increase participation rates by fueling competition.
R: Do you think there is a social movement to support the reformists through victory over Ahmadinejad and his military backers?
MAA: In order for Mr. Ahmadinejad to be defeated there must be a vast social movement like the one that supported Mr. Khatami in 1997. Right now we don't see that kind of enthusiasm and dedication.
R: Under what conditions could we see such enthusiasm?
MAA: If the Guardian Council's role in the election is curtailed and the possibility of an independent monitoring of the election is present, then people's participation rate could increase.


