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February 5, 2009
Shamsolvaezin in Interview with Rooz:

With Bush's Departure, Ahmadinejad Era Over

Omid Memarian
Omid Memarian
omid(at)memarian.info

Journalist and political expert Mashallah Shamsolvaezin tells Rooz in an interview that with the ‎end of the Bush era, the Ahmadinejad era in foreign policy also has ended. You read the ‎interview below.‎

shamsolvaezin.jpg

Rooz (R): Ahmadinejad's congratulatory note to Obama was unprecedented. In your opinion, ‎can Ahmadinejad continue the track of negotiations with the United States?‎

Mashallah Shamsolvaezin (MS): The conservatives in Iran are perhaps more able than others to ‎advance the agenda of negotiations with America. But one must note that when the Bush era has ‎ended, the Ahmadinejad era in foreign policy also has ended. We must change our players so ‎that we can operate better than expected, so that we can reap tangible benefits. If we fail to do ‎so, we may get some results which are limited, little and possibly fleeting.‎

R: What is Mr. Ahmadinejad's problem concerning tangible benefits?‎

MS: Mr. Ahmadinejad is a confrontational figure. He is a figure built for radical confrontation. ‎It is the same domestically. He has obliterated the country's entire infrastructure. He has ‎destroyed all institutions involved in devising long-term policy, such as the Planning and ‎Management Organization. He is an individual without long-term vision and without a plan. ‎However, we must ponder about a long-term strategy regarding our relations with America and ‎the world. We must have politicians who can bring stability back to Iranian politics. Three ‎decades of instability in foreign relations and affairs is enough. It is not sustainable anymore - as ‎if we have deprived ourselves of the possibility of living in peace and quiet. We only know how ‎to break things and create challenges and crises.‎

R: So in your opinion meaningful negotiations are not possible in the Ahmadinejad era?‎

MS: Change in the present composition is not possible during the Ahmadinejad era. Just as ‎developments in the American society could not continue with Bush, developments in Iranian ‎society are pointing to the direction of change, but the government is unable to process that. The ‎United States did process that and Obama was presented as the solution. A similar ‎transformation has occurred in Iran and the regime must bow down to pressures and prepare the ‎representative of this transformation for the most important period facing the Islamic Republic in ‎its three decades of existence, meaning establishing relations with the United States and devising ‎a regional strategy that addresses the interests of Iran, the United States and the Middle East. ‎

R: What would the repercussions be if Iran is unable to respond the change in U.S. policies and ‎fails to capitalize on the opportunity? ‎

MS: We would witness a difficult situation. We are getting closer to our last opportunities. If ‎we cannot use these opportunities severe crises would afflict us. This is because Obama enjoys a ‎positive place in public opinion and has much more legitimacy than Bush both inside and outside ‎the United States. Therefore, any decision he makes with respect to Iran would enjoy more ‎significant international backing. In that case, Iran's situation would become all the more ‎worrisome. ‎


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