The Meaning of Statistics in Elections
Ahmad Zeidabadi - 2008.03.04

In Iran, interesting and unusual figures are dug up for every election, particularly Majlis elections. In fact, the Ministry of the Interior and the Guardians Council, both of which are charged with supervising the implementation and supervision of the national elections, stress that they are lenient on the candidates applying for permission to run for public office by using statistics that is available to them. On the other side of the spectrum, critics too publicize the rejection of candidates applying to run for public office and reject the claims of the Ministry of the Interior and the Guardians Council.
The Guardians Council usually claims that it accepts 70 percent of candidates who apply for formal acceptance to run for a public office. This percent, from their perspective, indicates the competitive nature of the elections in the country and their non-political treatment of the issue. Officials at the Ministry of the Interior present the same views.
But how does all this look when one compares the figures with standards for free and fair elections? It appears that these statistics have little value for an assessment of the process. In other words, it is possible that even 99 percent of the candidates are rejected, while elections still remain completely fair and free. Similarly, it is possible to have 99 percent of the candidates accepted, while the elections remain unfair and despotic.
What is really important are the standards by which candidates are accepted or rejected to run for office, and not the numbers. According to accepted norms for free and fair elections, there are a number of accepted criteria such as minimum age, literacy, absence of a criminal record, violence, etc that are applied to the candidates. So if 99 percent of the applicants are rejected because of these reasons, the integrity and fairness of the elections will not be harmed.
What distances an election from the goals of being fair and free is that the applicants are looked at from a political or ideological perspective and through such eyes. Under these circumstances, even if a single candidate is rejected because of this perspective, the integrity of the elections will be attacked.
So if we imagine an assembly of say 200 representatives, the exclusion of 200 candidates on political and ideological grounds negates the whole process of elections on grounds of being unfair and undemocratic because the will of the people may be to have those very 200 individuals elected to public office. Clearly in such a case, people are deprived of being represented by whoever they wanted to be represented. This forces them to either not participate in the elections or vote for someone who is really not their choice.
So all this talk in Iran about statistics and percentage of candidates who are accepted or rejected is really a waste of time as it does not address the key issue of fairness and freeness of the elections.
