Doubts Over 40 Percent Participation in Tehran
Interview on Elections with Sadegh Zibakalam - 2008.03.31

Omid Memarian
o.memarian@roozonline.com
Tehran University professor and political analyst Sadegh Zibakalam told Rooz in an exclusive interview that he doubted the truth of the official reports placing Tehran's participation rate at 40 percent, but believed that reformists performed better than expected in other cities. Below is the text of this interview.

Rooz (R): What was the effect of the mass disqualification of reformist and independent candidates on the elections, and what picture of the election officials did that portray to the public?
Sadegh Zibakalm (SZ): I believe that the issue of disqualifications as implemented by the Guardian Council and Interior Ministry - which I in general refer to as the Islamic Republic regime - contradicted the basic principles of democracy. I mean, you cannot see that we have democracy and respect people's votes and then have the phenomenon of disqualifying candidates on ideological and political basis. This means that the regime pushes is pushing its political opponents out of the scene.
R: How do you analyze the results obtained by reformists in Tehran and other cities?
SZ: I personally did not think that, in light of the fact that reformists had most of their prominent candidates disqualified and were mostly relying on second- and third-tier candidates, they be able to capture thirty, forty or fifty seats. But the results show that the number of seats won by reformists (in smaller cities) exceeded the expectations.
R: Does the 40 percent participation rate released by the Interior Ministry for Tehran match the reality and your own estimations?
SZ: It seems unlikely that forty percent of eligible voters voted in Tehran. Because, if we assume that seven million people were eligible to vote in Tehran, forty percent of seven million makes two million and eight hundred thousand people. But two million and eight hundred thousand people did not vote in Tehran. In the seventh Majlis elections about one-third of eligible voters cast ballots in Tehran. I still think that the participation rate in Tehran was, at most, one-third.
R: How compatible was the behavior of Mr. Karoubi [secretary general of E'temad Melli party who accused other reformists of being "too radical" and provided a separate slate from other reformists] with the general aims of other reformsits?
SZ: I think that Mr. Karoubi had chosen a strategy and his behavior was consistent with that strategy. The root of that strategy is that if, in all of Iran, there is even one candidate who is not a conservative, we should all mobilize and vote for that person. In other words, we should not boycott elections in any circumstances, because that would empower the conservatives. Whenever fewer people have participated in elections the conservatives have performed better. Based on this reasoning, he believed that we should minimize the number of disqualified candidates by lobbying centers of power and participate in elections with maximum possible strength. Although I didn't think some of his remarks regarding the famous sit-in of sixth Majlis MP's were correct, because these MP's had not done anything illegal, and their sit-in was the least they could do to protest the mass disqualification of sixth Majlis lawmakers.
