Consequences of a Radical Ideology
Ahmad Zeidabadi - 2007.12.03

People flooded polling booths and cast their votes for Mr. Khatami.
Nothing connected these people together other than their dissatisfaction with Iran's conditions and their hope for "change." What Khatami's supporters did not share in common was what exactly this "change" consisted of, and how far was it supposed to go.
On the other hand, Khatami, who had entered the race in hopes of building a movement for future success was caught off guard when he received 20 million votes. Suddenly he found himself in the middle of a situation that he had not even thought about.
Mr. Khatami was, in the first place, the country's President. As such, he had to deal with a heavy workload every single day. Secondly, he had promised change and reform, and now every group demanded its own particular interests from him. Thirdly, he had defeated his rival in a bitter and eventful campaign. The retaliation coming from his rival’s party threatened him.
Khatami's supporters were many but dispersed. He took no particular action to unite and mobilize them. Nevertheless, Khatami's vast support meant that he had control over the country’s public opinion, which we can call the psychological aspect of power.
Khatami's influence over public opinion kept the rival party in check for some time. After a while, however, the rival party realized that Khatami is incapable of turning psychological power into real, tangible power.
Khatami's rival party, which had consolidated itself during Rafsanjani's presidency, dealt with its remaining problems quickly and mobilized its forces in a bid to defeat the reformists.
In addition to other measures it took to subvert the reform movement, the rival party began propagating a radical ideology to mobilize its social base.
Since the philosophy behind this ideology was to defeat the reform movement, the ideology itself was in contradiction with reformist principles. In addition to propagating this ideology and mobilizing a social base around it, the rival party did not ignore the vast but dispersed army of Khatami's supporters.
The rival party continuously destabilized the political environment, which added to the country's countless existing problems. It also focused on the economic needs of various classes and raised the public's expectations to unattainable levels. As a result, people gradually lost hope in the reform movement and became passive and inactive.
The natural result of these developments was the election of Ahmadinejad to presidency, something that perhaps even the authors of this plan did not foresee.
In my opinion, the victory of a reformist candidate in the 2005 presidential elections could have logically led to two situations: the new president would have had to succumb to the ideology and plans of the rival party, which would have been disastrous; or he would have had to battle the rival party, which would have led to massive violence and possibly even a civil war. The least costly option, with all its repercussions, was the election of someone like Ahmadinejad.
