Security Memo Identifies Threats to Islamic Republic
Esfandiar Saffari - 2007.11.24

The political division of the Revolutionary Guards published a report titled "Looming Damages and Threats," stating that "active cultural movements in the country are capable of damaging and threatening the regime's ideological foundations."
The Revolutionary Guards memorandum lists "feminists," "supporters of religious pluralism," "dervishes and Sufis," "radical modernist movements," "Bahaiis," and "devil worshippers" as "threats" to the regime. It also singles out non-governmental organizations (NGO's) as the most significant element capable of instigating civil unrest and threatening the country's security.
Noting that "poverty, corruption and discrimination" are central to the country's cultural and social vulnerability, the memorandum claims that the triangle of poverty, corruption and discrimination has given rise to a series of problems that threaten the stability of the Islamic regime, despite the supreme leader's repeated warnings.
The memorandum identifies social corruption as a weakness of the Islamic Republic, stating, "although the increase in the youth population contributes to this corruption, its getting out of hand can pose serious related problems to the regime."
The memorandum adds, "According to available reports, the youth comprise a majority of the prison population in Iran," and "the spread of addiction among society's youth has created serious concerns among the regime's officials."
The Revolutionary Guards memorandum attributes all or almost all of problems and threats to the "activities of cultural movements." In one place, it states, "Active cultural movements in the country are capable of inflicting harm and threatening the regime's ideological foundations. Even though these movements do not have mass followings, their activity level and potential makes them threatening."
The memorandum's authors have written a short description for each threatening movement. For feminists, they write, "the feminist movement has grown rapidly in recent years. Identifying themselves as Islamic feminists, feminists are seriously pursuing Iran's joining of the UN Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Discrimination Against Women."
The memorandum identifies NGO's as agents of regime change: "It is needless to say that in Iran's new political situation, the strategy of civil disobedience or civil resistance is pursued more seriously by opponents of the regime and is currently the most important option for instigating regime change."
The report adds, "Challenging the political ideology has a long history and has been pursued more actively in recent years. This challenge will by pursued by various ideological movements and their agents in the future with more force."
The Revolutionary Guards memorandum also identifies the "formation of a democracy and human rights front" that was suggested by former presidential candidate Mostafa Moein during the 2005 presidential election as a sign of activism of reformists groups: "These movements will revert to political tricks to single out issues such as human rights as the regime's central issue."

