Positive Equilibrium
Ali Afshari - 2007.11.14

Coinciding with Vladimir Putin’s visit and the opening of the Caspian Sea Summit in Tehran, worries have increased over the possibility that the regime may sacrifice Iran’s territorial rights in exchange for Russia's support of Iran's nuclear program.
President Ahmadinejad’s recent remark that there are no limits to Iran’s relations with Russia has increased concerns.
The worry is that Iran may accept Russia’s proposal for demarcating Caspian Sea boundaries in exchange for the latter's diplomatic support. If that happens, Iran’s share of Caspian Sea will amount to 13 percent of the seabed, which is not enough to entitle the country to vast amounts of natural gas and oil.
Iran can tap into large amounts of gas and oil reserves under the seabed only if it has a 20 percent ownership. In that case, Iran will be entitled to tap into the Alborz field, which is has an abundant amount of oil and natural gas.
Otherwise, accepting the Russian proposal would mean losing a chunk of territory, a shameful event that may take place in exchange for Russia’s support of Iran’s controversial nuclear program.
Furthermore, since that move is equivalent to changing the country’s boundaries and territory, the Iranian nation must approve it through a referendum. According to the Constitution, protecting the country’s territorial integrity is among the government's essential duties. Any changes to the country’s borders or territory must be ratified by a 4/5 majority in the Majlis, and no administration can override that process and act single-handedly.
To the contrary, Iranian public officials should have used a policy of positive equilibrium, employing the United States' influence to deter Russia from infringing on Iran's territorial rights in the Caspian Sea.
So far, hanging on to the loose Russian rope has brought nothing but defeat for Iran. The Russians have used Iran to advance their own national interests. Just as Russians have abandoned completing the Bushehr nuclear facility, and just as they failed to veto two United Nations Security Council resolutions against Iran, there is no guarantee that they will stand up to the pressure aimed at punishing Iran, even if Iran accepts their proposal for demarcating Caspian Sea boundary lines.
In reality, it seems as if the continuation of Iran's nuclear crisis provides Russia with an unprecedented opportunity to exact concessions from both the West and Iran.
